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Today's Top Stocks Chart(DOW & NASDAQ):

Chart for Dow     Chart for Nasdaq

[ jonson | 2010-8-18 21:15 | Read more: 32 | Catalog: Stocks Report ]

Diane Cunningham of Colorado Springs, Colo., no longer has a flat-screen television. She decided to sell it... so she could buy a shotgun.

Colorado Springs shut off a third of its streetlights this past winter, The New York Times reports, in order to save $12 million on electricity. Shortly thereafter, a chain of events convinced Ms. Cunningham she needed to be armed.

"Her tires were slashed, she said. Her car was broken into. Strange men showed up on her porch. Her neighborhood had grown deserted at night..."

Meanwhile, in East St. Louis, Mo., Reverend Joseph Tracy is convinced guns are the problem. (Guns in the hands of criminals, that is.)

 

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[ jonson | 2010-8-18 8:10 | Read more: 61 | Catalog: Stocks Quotes ]

The Dow was flat yesterday. Gold rose $9 to $1,226.

Has the dip in gold already come and gone?

We were expecting lower stock prices...and lower gold prices too. Both went down earlier in the summer. But neither went down as much as we expected...nor stayed down.

But it's still fairly early in this correction. The recession began at the end of '07. We're now approaching the last quarter of '10.

By this time in the '30s, top stocks were hitting rock bottom. The market crashed in the autumn of '29...then bounced...and then started down again. It didn't stop until it hit bottom in July of '32 - nearly three years later. By then, top stocks had lost nearly 90% of their value, from 381down to 41.

It can take longer, however. Japanese stocks crashed in '90. But they didn't hit their ultimate bottom until 2008 - 18 years later - with losses of about 90%.

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[ jonson | 2010-8-18 8:03 | Read more: 82 | Catalog: Stocks Report ]

Every year, I go to the Agora Financial Investment Symposium in Vancouver, both as speaker and attendee. It's jampacked with people from all over the world who gather at the Fairmont Hotel to share ideas. As soon as I walk into that grand old railway hotel, I know there will be some surprises. This year was no different.

Ideas were not in short supply, but some ideas were more common than others. More than a few speakers spoke well of gold and oil. Most had dim views of the economy and the hot stock market of 2011. And there were at least a handful whose best ideas hailed from some emerging market.

A couple of my favorite ideas came from investors based in Dubai and Moscow. Whole markets rarely go on sale, but here we have two examples of hot stock markets trading for about 6 times earnings.

Peter Cooper is our man in Dubai, as you may remember, and a friend of mine. From his perch in Dubai, he writes an interesting investing newsletter called ArabianMoney. He is also a self-made millionaire who made it in the Middle East. He sold out near the top. But now, Peter says Dubai is a buy again. In fact, Peter says, the whole United Arab Emirates is a buy.

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[ jonson | 2010-8-17 8:26 | Read more: 45 | Catalog: Stocks Quotes ]
Yesterday's markets barely moved in any significant direction, so we will ignore them and go on to today. It's a big day for the men who rule us. The Fed's Open Market Committee meets to decide what to do.

On the table are a number of small steps...and one big one.

Barron's highlights the big one on this week's cover:

"Why the Fed will soon print $2 trillion," is its headline. The idea behind the headline is simple enough. The recovery is a flop. All that stimulus spending has done nothing. Unemployment is not getting better. Consumers aren't shopping. Banks aren't lending. And the money supply is actually falling.

What to do? The Fed has already shot off its monetary ammunition. It has been lending money without asking anything in return for the last two years. What else can it do?

Well, it still has some weapons it can use. Quantitative easing, for example.

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[ jonson | 2010-8-17 8:25 | Read more: 52 | Catalog: Top Stocks Market ]
The 2011 top stock market still has further to fall to catch up with the slowing economy. US GDP will keep decelerating - likely approaching a zero percent growth rate by 2011 - for the following reasons:

1. The long-term trend back towards consumer frugality and higher savings rates remains in full force. This will dampen consumer spending.

2. A double dip in housing prices is likely, because subsidies are ending and the backlog of foreclosure resolutions is about to accelerate.

3. The impact of the Obama administration's stimulus plan is fading, and is not leading to any real "multiplier" effects because most of it went to plug holes in state government budgets.

4. European and Chinese GDP are slowing for well-publicized reasons.

5. Those who create jobs in the US fear rising tax rates in 2011, rising energy prices from cap-and-trade legislation, the pro-Wall Street "financial reform" bill, and a laundry list of other anti- business policies.

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